Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
Result | ||
Malaga | Draw | Cartagena |
46.54% ( 0.36) | 30.58% ( -0.07) | 22.87% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 35.94% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
29.93% ( 0.02) | 70.06% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.72% ( 0.02) | 87.27% ( -0.02) |
Malaga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.26% ( 0.21) | 30.73% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33% ( 0.25) | 66.99% ( -0.26) |
Cartagena Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.88% ( -0.29) | 48.11% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.68% ( -0.21) | 83.31% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Malaga | Draw | Cartagena |
1-0 @ 17.44% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.99% Total : 46.54% | 0-0 @ 14.78% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 30.57% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 22.86% |
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