Segunda Division | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Cartagena.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 46.54%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.
| Result |
| Malaga | Draw | Cartagena |
46.54% ( 0.36) | 30.58% ( -0.07) | 22.87% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 35.94% ( -0.09) |
| 29.93% ( 0.02) | 70.06% ( -0.03) |
| 12.72% ( 0.02) | 87.27% ( -0.02) |
| 69.26% ( 0.21) | 30.73% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33% ( 0.25) | 66.99% ( -0.26) |
| 51.88% ( -0.29) | 48.11% ( 0.28) |
