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Segunda Division | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
Cartagonova, Cartagena, Murcia

Cartagena
1 - 0
Castellon

Castro (55')
Fornies (32'), Aburjania (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sene (41')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Castellon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawCastellon
38.02%28.97%33.01%
Both teams to score 44.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.12%61.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.35%81.65%
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56%31.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18%67.81%
Castellon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26%34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53%71.46%
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 38.01%
    Castellon 33%
    Draw 28.96%
CartagenaDrawCastellon
1-0 @ 12.63%
2-1 @ 7.73%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 38.01%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.91%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 11.54%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 33%

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