SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.95%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.61%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Cartagena |
57.41% ( 0.76) | 26.2% ( -0.07) | 16.38% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 37.43% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.46% ( -0.58) | 63.54% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.14% ( -0.42) | 82.86% ( 0.42) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( 0.07) | 22.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44% ( 0.11) | 55.99% ( -0.11) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.26% ( -1.26) | 51.73% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.17% ( -0.85) | 85.83% ( 0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Cartagena |
| 1-0 @ 17.35% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.46% Total : 57.41% | 0-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.25) 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.33% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.39% |
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