Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 5, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio El Toralin
Ponferradina win 4-3 on penalties
Costa Quijano (90+1')
Olivier Doue (51'), Lozano (57'),
Esquerdo (115')
FT
(aet)
Flakus Bosilj (45+1')
Calavera Espinach (56'), Vertrouwd (105')
Flakus Bosilj (116')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Ponferradina and Castellon.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Castellon win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).
| Result |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Castellon |
46.56% ( -0.3) | 26.12% ( 0.05) | 27.32% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( 0.05) |
| 46.49% ( -0.03) | 53.51% ( 0.03) |
| 24.97% ( -0.02) | 75.02% ( 0.02) |
| 77.04% ( -0.15) | 22.95% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.26% ( -0.22) | 56.73% ( 0.22) |
| 65.44% ( 0.18) | 34.56% ( -0.19) |
