Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Coruna win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (7.63%). The likeliest Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo La Coruna would win this match.