Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
