Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
-1.14) 
0.41) 
