We fancy Eibar to beat Girona over two legs, but the visitors might be forced to accept a draw on Thursday. Girona's home form this season has been strong, recording 13 league victories, and we can see the two teams playing out a low-scoring draw in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
