Segunda Division | Gameweek 42
May 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Heliodoro Rodriguez Lopez, Tenerife
We said: Tenerife 2-1 Cartagena
Cartagena will come into the game with freedom and a renewed sense of confidence thanks to last weekend's result, while Tenerife seem to be in an ebb following the confirmation of their playoff place, making Sunday's meeting an interesting contest.
However, we do see the hosts finding their groove again with the aim of heading into the fight for promotion on the back of a victory, thanks to the quality throughout their squad that has shown over the course of the campaign.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result |
| Tenerife | Draw | Cartagena |
45.24% ( 0.34) | 26.94% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.06) |
| 43.66% ( 0.01) | 56.33% ( -0.01) |
| 22.64% ( 0) | 77.36% ( -0) |
| 75.18% ( 0.17) | 24.81% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.6% ( 0.23) | 59.4% ( -0.23) |
| 64.32% ( -0.23) | 35.67% ( 0.23) |
