Although playoff ties do not always go with the form book, we cannot ignore how Girona's performances have been far more inconsistent in the short term. With that in mind, we feel that Eibar will just about do enough to earn a place in the final, even if it means a draw being played out on the night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
1.66) 
-0.07) 
