Both teams will be feeling confident ahead of this match, and we are expecting a close affair in the second leg. It would certainly not be a surprise to see Tenerife triumph, but we just have a feeling that Girona will edge a tight contest to secure a return to Spain's top flight for the 2022-23 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
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