Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
