Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.