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Segunda Division | Gameweek 31
Mar 17, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
3 - 2
Albacete

Morente (45'), Fernandez (49'), Mourad (80')
Fernandez (16'), Mourad (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fuster (11', 78')
Olaetxea (61'), Rodriguez (90+5')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Albacete.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal II 0-1 Elche
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-2 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawAlbacete
52.01% (2.698 2.7) 27.42% (-0.362 -0.36) 20.56% (-2.335 -2.34)
Both teams to score 40.5% (-1.637 -1.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.02% (-0.716 -0.72)62.98% (0.718 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.54% (-0.522 -0.52)82.45% (0.524 0.52)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.94000000000001 0.94)24.57% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (1.299 1.3)59.06% (-1.297 -1.3)
Albacete Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.7% (-2.875 -2.88)46.3% (2.876 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.05% (-2.306 -2.31)81.95% (2.309 2.31)
Score Analysis
    Elche 52%
    Albacete 20.56%
    Draw 27.41%
ElcheDrawAlbacete
1-0 @ 15.96% (0.83 0.83)
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.536 0.54)
3-1 @ 4.04% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.232 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 52%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-0 @ 11.37% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.32% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 8.76% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.531 -0.53)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.481 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.249 -0.25)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 20.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Villarreal II 0-1 Elche
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 3-0 Alcorcon
Monday, March 4 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Elche
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 0-0 Eibar
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-0 Elche
Saturday, February 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Elche 2-0 Burgos
Friday, February 2 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-2 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-1 Albacete
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-1 Albacete
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 2-0 Racing
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Valladolid 0-0 Albacete
Monday, February 12 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Cartagena
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Segunda Division


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