Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 48.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
