SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Elche had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cartagena | Draw | Elche |
36.11% ( -0.68) | 29.77% ( 0.34) | 34.11% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 42.71% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.59% ( -1.11) | 64.4% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.52% ( -0.79) | 83.47% ( 0.78) |
| Cartagena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( -1.03) | 33.96% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.36% ( -1.12) | 70.64% ( 1.12) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.68% ( -0.37) | 35.31% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.92% ( -0.38) | 72.07% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cartagena | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.11% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.77% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.11% Total : 34.11% |
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