SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Alcorcon |
52.94% ( 0.83) | 27.55% ( 0.02) | 19.5% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 38.92% ( -1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.7% ( -0.8) | 64.29% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.6% ( -0.57) | 83.39% ( 0.57) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( 0.02) | 24.74% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( 0.03) | 59.29% ( -0.03) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.71% ( -1.45) | 48.28% ( 1.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.56% ( -1.08) | 83.44% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Alcorcon |
| 1-0 @ 16.68% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 52.94% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.5% |
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