Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Alcorcon
52.94% ( 0.83)	27.55% ( 0.02)	19.5% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 38.92% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.7% (

-0.8)

64.29% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.6% (

-0.57)

83.39% (

0.57)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

0.02)

24.74% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7% (

0.03)

59.29% (

-0.03)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.71% (

-1.45)

48.28% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.56% (

-1.08)

83.44% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Elche 52.94%

Alcorcon 19.5%

Draw 27.54%

Elche	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 16.68% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.5%