Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elche in this match.
0.25) 
-0.39) 
