Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elche in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal II | Draw | Elche |
31.46% ( 0.25) | 27.92% ( 0.14) | 40.62% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( -0.44) | 58.53% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( -0.35) | 79.11% ( 0.34) |
Villarreal II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.93% ( -0.05) | 34.07% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( -0.05) | 70.76% ( 0.05) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.74% ( -0.43) | 28.26% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.03% ( -0.55) | 63.97% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal II | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.76% Total : 40.61% |
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