Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 41.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.09) 
