SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 41.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
41.89% ( 0.05) | 29.14% ( -0.09) | 28.97% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.04% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.31) | 63.37% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.27% ( 0.22) | 82.73% ( -0.22) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( 0.19) | 29.9% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( 0.22) | 66% ( -0.22) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( 0.21) | 38.61% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( 0.2) | 75.35% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Racing Club de Ferrol |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 41.89% | 1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.14% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)1-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.96% |
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