SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Eldense win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Amorebieta | Draw | Eldense |
44.04% ( -0.64) | 27.09% ( 0.19) | 28.87% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.6% ( -0.51) | 56.4% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.58% ( -0.41) | 77.41% ( 0.41) |
| Amorebieta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.55) | 25.45% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.73% ( -0.76) | 60.27% ( 0.76) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( 0.08) | 34.88% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( 0.08) | 71.62% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Amorebieta | Draw | Eldense |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 28.87% |
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