Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 55.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.96%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.04) 
