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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Espanyol |
34.56% ( 0.48) | 26.8% ( 0.15) | 38.64% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.53) | 53.68% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.83% ( -0.45) | 75.17% ( 0.45) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.05) | 29.5% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( 0.05) | 65.51% ( -0.05) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.6) | 27.07% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.79) | 62.44% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 34.56% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.63% |
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