SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eldense | Draw | Espanyol |
30.23% ( 0.33) | 28.45% ( 0.3) | 41.32% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 45.39% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.29% ( -0.95) | 60.7% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.22% ( -0.72) | 80.77% ( 0.72) |
| Eldense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( -0.26) | 36.14% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.07% ( -0.27) | 72.92% ( 0.26) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( -0.81) | 28.91% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( -1.02) | 64.79% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eldense | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 30.23% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.6% Total : 41.31% |
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