Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
-1.2) 
1.41) 
