Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.02) 
