Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.05) 
