Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 16.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
