Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
