Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.93%), while for a Castellon win it was 1-0 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
