Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 39.55%. A draw had a probability of 32.7% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 27.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (6.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.73%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.