Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 13.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.97%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.