Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 49.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
