Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.