SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Espanyol |
39.65% ( -0.04) | 27.73% ( -0) | 32.62% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( 0.01) | 57.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( 0.01) | 78.34% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( -0.02) | 28.34% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.93% ( -0.02) | 64.07% ( 0.02) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0.03) | 32.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.7% ( 0.04) | 69.3% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Santander | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.61% |
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