Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.