SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 38.72%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (6.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.63%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Tenerife |
38.72% ( -0.11) | 32.75% ( -0.05) | 28.53% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 34.71% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 26.76% ( 0.14) | 73.24% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 10.77% ( 0.09) | 89.23% ( -0.08) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.84% ( 0.01) | 37.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.05% ( 0.01) | 73.95% ( -0.01) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.23% ( 0.23) | 44.77% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.25% ( 0.18) | 80.75% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 16.47% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.72% | 0-0 @ 16.63% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.74% | 0-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.61% Total : 28.53% |
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