SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (12.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alcorcon | Draw | Espanyol |
36.87% ( 0.22) | 30.55% ( 0.16) | 32.58% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 40.56% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.51) | 66.89% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.81% ( -0.35) | 85.19% ( 0.34) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0.14) | 34.8% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.14) | 71.53% ( 0.14) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.57) | 37.79% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.43% ( -0.56) | 74.56% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alcorcon | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.54% | 0-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 32.57% |
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