Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 40.35%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (6.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.9%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.