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Segunda Division | Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Leganes
3 - 2
Lugo

Merino (10', 56' pen.), Pardo (31')
Perea (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barreiro (4', 90+4')
Hacen (61'), Seoane (61')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Leganes and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.38%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
LeganesDrawLugo
38.38%31.97%29.65%
Both teams to score 36.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.84%71.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.03%87.96%
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82%36.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.03%72.96%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.44%42.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.08%78.91%
Score Analysis
    Leganes 38.37%
    Lugo 29.65%
    Draw 31.96%
LeganesDrawLugo
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 6.8%
3-0 @ 2.7%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.37%
0-0 @ 15.39%
1-1 @ 13.37%
2-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.96%
0-1 @ 13.15%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 29.65%

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