Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.38%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.