Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 38.38%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.96%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Lugo |
38.38% | 31.97% | 29.65% |
Both teams to score 36.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
28.84% | 71.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
12.03% | 87.96% |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.82% | 36.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.03% | 72.96% |
Lugo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% | 42.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% | 78.91% |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Lugo |
1-0 @ 15.65% 2-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 6.8% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.37% | 0-0 @ 15.39% 1-1 @ 13.37% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.96% | 0-1 @ 13.15% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 1.94% Total : 29.65% |
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