Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.
