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Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Anxo Carro, Lugo
RV

Lugo
0 - 2
Real Valladolid


Antonio Ros Martinez (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weissman (11'), Toni (53')
Fernandez (38'), Sanchez (43'), Janko (70'), Fede (90+8')
Weissman (38')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Lugo and Real Valladolid.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
LugoDrawReal Valladolid
24.62%27.71%47.67%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.16%60.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.12%80.87%
Lugo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06%40.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5%77.5%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34%25.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44%60.56%
Score Analysis
    Lugo 24.62%
    Real Valladolid 47.66%
    Draw 27.7%
LugoDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.38%
2-1 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 4.19%
3-1 @ 1.7%
3-0 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 24.62%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 14.28%
0-2 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 8.68%
0-3 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 3.94%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.5%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 47.66%

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