Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 39.52%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.91%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
