SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Granada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
56.51% ( -0.25) | 25.19% ( 0.13) | 18.3% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.83% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.85% ( -0.27) | 58.16% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.19% ( -0.21) | 78.81% ( 0.21) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.21) | 20.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.33) | 53.16% ( 0.33) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.01) | 46.06% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% ( 0) | 81.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.5% Total : 18.3% |
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