Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.52) 
