Now coming up against a defensively sound Athletic Bilbao side having suffered fresh injury blows with three of their goalscorers at the weekend, Granada's strong start to life under Karanka could come to a grinding halt here.
The hosts have not had the winning formula in front of their own fans of late, and with Marcelino's men in rather strong form themselves, the European outsiders can take advantage of Granada's lengthy injury list to get back on track.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.67) 
-0.98) 
