Mallorca have won their last two league matches on home soil, and we fancy the hosts to triumph once again here. Both teams are in desperate need of the points, but we believe that Mallorca will shade a close match to collect a hugely important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Granada had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
