With top goalscorer Tomas unavailable, Espanyol are likely to struggle in the attacking third even more so than they already have during the season away from home.
Granada still need to pick up points to secure their safety which gives the hosts extra motive, and that is likely to be a key feature in the result on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
