Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
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