Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 35.03%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.88%) and 2-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Burgos win was 0-1 (13.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
