Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.85%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
0.91) 
-0.22) 
