SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.85%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huesca | Draw | Burgos |
47.52% ( 0.91) | 29.23% ( -0.22) | 23.25% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 39.12% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.71% ( 0.22) | 66.29% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.22% ( 0.15) | 84.78% ( -0.15) |
| Huesca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( 0.59) | 28.3% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.97% ( 0.73) | 64.02% ( -0.74) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.56% ( -0.56) | 45.44% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.72% ( -0.44) | 81.28% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huesca | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.48% Total : 47.52% | 0-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.11) 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 29.21% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.24% |
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