Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huesca win with a probability of 40.01%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huesca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (7.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.37%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huesca would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.04) 
