Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 35.67%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (12.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.09) 
